3 thoughts on “S&P 500 10-Year Rolling Total Returns”

  1. Here’s a question I have, having just found this post and your site. Even without CPI data, the trend shows shrinking returns per 10-year period. Starting in the 80s and 90s it’s basically double digit returns. Beginning at the July 95 – Jun 05 mark the returns are single digit, and dropping. I’m well aware of big world events and market doozies including the tech bubble, 9/11, and the 2008 recession. But why do you think these ten year periods continue down? This is of particular importance to me as I would like to retire in about 12 years. A recent Bogle comment thinks stocks will be low for the next ten years as well.

    1. David,

      If you look, you’ll see that they are trending back up. A couple of those 10-year periods had both the tech bubble burst and the housing crisis.

      I would look more at 20-year returns. Even when you retire, you’re still going to be in the market, right?

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