Thursday Diversion: Losing the First Two Games of the World Series

I have an inquiring mind. I must know stuff. One of the things I have wondered about was how the World Series plays out. For instance, when a team wins the first game, how often have they gone on to win the series(63.2% of the time). I googled to try to find the information, but it wasn’t available as far as I could tell. So, I fired up Excel and ran the numbers myself.

The Mets and Royals just finished up game two of their series. The Royals won that game and now have a 2-0 lead in the series, which heads to New York for the next three games (only two if the Royals end up sweeping the series).

Although it is rare, it is not unheard of for a team to come back from being down 2-0 to win the series. It has happened 10 times in the history of the 7-game World Series. That said, as you can see from the graphic below, the odds are in the Royals’ favor:

World Series History (After First Two Games)

So there you have it (in case you were wondering). As my friend Brad pointed out on one of my facebook posts about the series, correlation does not necessarily mean causation. If anything, it shows just how difficult it is to come back from losing the first two games. Oh, and in case you were wondering, no team has ever come back from a 3-0 (at least not in the World Series).

Enjoy the rest of your day. Thanks for reading.

Willis Carrier’s 3-Step Method for Dealing with Worry

I was going through Dale Carnegie’s book notes and came across this advice from Willis Carrier for dealing with worry:

Step I. Analyze the situation fearlessly and honestly and figure out what is the worst that could possibly happen as a result of this failure.

Step II. After figuring out what is the worst that could possibly happen, reconcile yourself to accepting it, if necessary.

Step III. From that time on, calmly devote your time and energy to trying to improve upon the worst which you have already accepted mentally.

If you haven’t read Dale Carnegie’s two classics “How to Win Friends & Influence People” and “How to Stop Worrying and Start Living”, I highly recommend them. Great stuff.